Main Article Content
Abstract
Purpose: This study analyzes the political economy and fiscal implications of the Jakarta–Bandung High-Speed Rail (Whoosh) project within the framework of China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI).
Research Method: This study employs a qualitative explanatory case study approach using document analysis of government regulations, Ministry of Finance reports, KCIC publications, academic journals, and reports from international institutions.
Results and Discussion: The findings show that the project’s financing structure increased fiscal exposure for Indonesian state-owned enterprises, particularly PT KAI, due to cost overruns and debt servicing pressures. The study also indicates that concerns about geopolitical dependency should be interpreted with caution, as domestic governance capacity, financing structures, and institutional risk management strongly influence the project outcomes.
Implications: The study emphasizes the importance of transparent fiscal governance, stronger risk-sharing mechanisms, and comprehensive ex-ante fiscal evaluation for strategic infrastructure projects.
Originality: This study integrates political economy and public financial management perspectives to explain the fiscal consequences of debt-financed infrastructure projects in developing countries.
Keywords
Article Details

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
References
- Afifah, NRN, & Badaruddin, M. (2024). Potential Chinese Debt Trap in Infrastructure Development (Case Study of The Jakarta-Bandung High-Speed Railway Project). Indonesian Journal of International Relations, 8(1), 198–222. https://doi.org/10.32787/ijir.v8i1.517
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- Anguelov, D. (2024). State-owned Enterprises and the Politics of Financializing Infrastructure Development in Indonesia: De-risking at the Limit? Development and Change, 55(3). https://doi.org/10.1111/dech.12828
- Ashadi, RF, Citra, Z., Sari, IP, Sipil, T., Buana, UM, Barat, J., Wijaya, H., Kadarisman, M., Astriani, N., Adharani, Y., Sanjaya, F., Puspitasari, V., Salim, IP, Simanjuntak, MAR, Sulistio, H., Jilan Nurhaliza, RZ Gultom, AT, Handayani, F., Sukmana, A., … Octorifadli, GP (2023). Impact of Jakarta-Bandung High-Speed Rail Infrastructure Development. Journal of Transportation & Logistics Management (JMTRANSLOG), 6(1), 203–211. http://ejournal-s1.undip.ac.id/index.php/jkts
- Dewi Yanti, Junita Mawartina, Heti Sarlini, & Wahjoe Pangestoeti. (2025). Mekanisme Pengelolaan Utang Negara dan Implikasinya terhadap Perekonomian Nasional. Jurnal Hukum, Administrasi Publik dan Negara, 2(1), 96–114. https://doi.org/10.62383/hukum.v2i1.97
- Ding, X., & Ji, Q. (2025). Risk Management and Risk Transfer In Major Infrastructure Projects. In The Routledge Handbook of Infrastructure Finance (pp. 371–386). Taylor and Francis. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781032712031-22
- Farman, E., & Ndapa, D. W. (2025). Criminal Liability for Corruption and Constitutional Responsibility of the State in the Whoosh High-Speed Rail Megaproject Case: Analysis of Mark-ups, Debt, and Restructuring. Siyasah Dusturiyah: State Law Review, 1(3), 89–95. http://jurnal.smartpedia.co.id/index.php/SDLR/article/view/107.
- Herrera Dappe, M., Musacchio, A., Pan, C., Semikolenova, Y. V., Turkgulu, B., & Barboza, J. (2022). Smoke and mirrors: Infrastructure state-owned enterprises and fiscal risks. The World Bank. https://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-9970
- International Monetary Fund, & Monetary and Capital Markets Department. (2024). Indonesia: Financial Sector Assessment Program-Financial System Stability Assessment. International Monetary Fund, 2024(272).
- Lei, Z. (2023). The political resource blessing or curse? Patronage networks, infrastructure investment, and economic development in China. Comparative Political Studies, 56(8), 1156–1188. https://doi.org/10.1177/00104140221139389
- Liu, H., & Lim, G. (2023). When the state goes transnational: The political economy of China's engagement with Indonesia. Competition and Change, 27(2). https://doi.org/10.1177/10245294221103069
- Liu, W. (2023). From Initiative to Networking: The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) Reshapes the Road of World Development. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-8505-8_9
- Maryani, D., & Abidin, Z. (2022). Jakarta-Bandung High-Speed Train Infrastructure Development. Scientific Journal of Regional Government Administration, 14(1), 162–179. https://doi.org/10.33701/jiapd.v14i1.2731
- Muh Farhan Ar Rusyda, & Trubus Rahardiansah. (2025). The Role and Position of Danantara in Managing Investments as a Sovereign Wealth Fund (SWF) Body. Journal of Multidisciplinary Educational Research, 2(6), 969–988. https://doi.org/10.71282/jurmie.v2i6.587
- Noor, E.M., & Yiming, S. (2024). China's Economic Diplomacy Towards Indonesia's Development: A Case Study of the Jakarta-Bandung High Speed Railway. Journal of Indonesian Social Sciences and Humanities, 14(1), 2024. https://ejournal.brin.go.id/jissh
- Nuraini, E., & Chairullah, E. (2025). Manifestation of China's Economic Statecraft in The Jakarta-Bandung High-Fast Train Project. Populis: Journal of Social and Humanities, 10(1), 64–73.
- Pembawa, I., Arham, MA, Akib, FHY, & Abdul, I. (2024). The Impact of Infrastructure Development on Poverty in Indonesia 2014-2021. Journal of Economic and Development Studies, 2(1). https://doi.org/10.37905/jsep.v2i1.26577
- Purba, A., & Purba, J.T. (2020). Jakarta-Bandung High-Speed rail transportation project: Facts and challenges. IOP Conference Series: Materials Science and Engineering, 918(1). https://doi.org/10.1088/1757-899X/918/1/012034
- Putri, AA, & Mahani, I. (2024). Financial Impact of Delays in the Jakarta-Bandung High-Speed Rail Construction Project. JCEBT (Journal of Civil Engineering, Building and Transportation), 8(2), 301–309. http://ojs.uma.ac.id/index.php/jcebt
- Rahmat, M. R. A. (2025). Financial Sustainability of KCIC Whoosh in the Ramp-Up Phase: A Narrative Review Based on IDX and Global HSR Benchmarks. Journal of Studies in Academic, Humanities, Research, and Innovation, 2(2), 168–178. https://doi.org/10.71305/sahri.v2i2.920
- Ray, D., & Ing, L.Y. (2016). Addressing Indonesia's Infrastructure Deficit. Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies, 52(1), 1–25. https://doi.org/10.1080/00074918.2016.1162266
- Sanjaya, F., & Puspitasari, V. (2020). Analysis of the Environmental Impact of the Jakarta-Bandung High-Speed Rail Development from a Critical Environmentalism Perspective. Padjadjaran Journal of International Relations, 2(2), 170. https://doi.org/10.24198/padjir.v2i2.26044
- Setiawan, A., Hamka, H., Ridwan, W., Salsabila, F., & Zahidi, MS (2024). Indonesia's Strategic Interest in High-Speed Rail Cooperation with China: Analyzing the Jakarta-Bandung Project Under Jokowi's Infrastructure Vision. Global International Journal of Innovative Research, 2(12). https://doi.org/10.59613/global.v2i12.366
- Silalahi, B. (2025). Whoosh In the Perspective of Public Service: Between State Mission and Policy Misformulation. SSRN JOURNAL, 1–7.
- Soemardi, BW, & Chan, T.-K. (2022). China's Belt and Road Initiative in Indonesia: A Case Study of the Jakarta–Bandung High-Speed Rail. Construction in Indonesia, 131–142. https://www.taylorfrancis.com/chapters/edit/10.1201/9781003149866-9/china-belt-road-initiative-indonesia-biemo-soemardi-toong-khuan-chan
References
Afifah, NRN, & Badaruddin, M. (2024). Potential Chinese Debt Trap in Infrastructure Development (Case Study of The Jakarta-Bandung High-Speed Railway Project). Indonesian Journal of International Relations, 8(1), 198–222. https://doi.org/10.32787/ijir.v8i1.517
Anguelov, D. (2023). Financializing urban infrastructure? The speculative state-spaces of ‘public-public partnerships’ in Jakarta. Environment and Planning A: Economy and Space, 55(2), 445–470. https://doi.org/10.1177/0308518X221135823
Anguelov, D. (2024). State-owned Enterprises and the Politics of Financializing Infrastructure Development in Indonesia: De-risking at the Limit? Development and Change, 55(3). https://doi.org/10.1111/dech.12828
Ashadi, RF, Citra, Z., Sari, IP, Sipil, T., Buana, UM, Barat, J., Wijaya, H., Kadarisman, M., Astriani, N., Adharani, Y., Sanjaya, F., Puspitasari, V., Salim, IP, Simanjuntak, MAR, Sulistio, H., Jilan Nurhaliza, RZ Gultom, AT, Handayani, F., Sukmana, A., … Octorifadli, GP (2023). Impact of Jakarta-Bandung High-Speed Rail Infrastructure Development. Journal of Transportation & Logistics Management (JMTRANSLOG), 6(1), 203–211. http://ejournal-s1.undip.ac.id/index.php/jkts
Dewi Yanti, Junita Mawartina, Heti Sarlini, & Wahjoe Pangestoeti. (2025). Mekanisme Pengelolaan Utang Negara dan Implikasinya terhadap Perekonomian Nasional. Jurnal Hukum, Administrasi Publik dan Negara, 2(1), 96–114. https://doi.org/10.62383/hukum.v2i1.97
Ding, X., & Ji, Q. (2025). Risk Management and Risk Transfer In Major Infrastructure Projects. In The Routledge Handbook of Infrastructure Finance (pp. 371–386). Taylor and Francis. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781032712031-22
Farman, E., & Ndapa, D. W. (2025). Criminal Liability for Corruption and Constitutional Responsibility of the State in the Whoosh High-Speed Rail Megaproject Case: Analysis of Mark-ups, Debt, and Restructuring. Siyasah Dusturiyah: State Law Review, 1(3), 89–95. http://jurnal.smartpedia.co.id/index.php/SDLR/article/view/107.
Herrera Dappe, M., Musacchio, A., Pan, C., Semikolenova, Y. V., Turkgulu, B., & Barboza, J. (2022). Smoke and mirrors: Infrastructure state-owned enterprises and fiscal risks. The World Bank. https://doi.org/10.1596/1813-9450-9970
International Monetary Fund, & Monetary and Capital Markets Department. (2024). Indonesia: Financial Sector Assessment Program-Financial System Stability Assessment. International Monetary Fund, 2024(272).
Lei, Z. (2023). The political resource blessing or curse? Patronage networks, infrastructure investment, and economic development in China. Comparative Political Studies, 56(8), 1156–1188. https://doi.org/10.1177/00104140221139389
Liu, H., & Lim, G. (2023). When the state goes transnational: The political economy of China's engagement with Indonesia. Competition and Change, 27(2). https://doi.org/10.1177/10245294221103069
Liu, W. (2023). From Initiative to Networking: The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) Reshapes the Road of World Development. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-8505-8_9
Maryani, D., & Abidin, Z. (2022). Jakarta-Bandung High-Speed Train Infrastructure Development. Scientific Journal of Regional Government Administration, 14(1), 162–179. https://doi.org/10.33701/jiapd.v14i1.2731
Muh Farhan Ar Rusyda, & Trubus Rahardiansah. (2025). The Role and Position of Danantara in Managing Investments as a Sovereign Wealth Fund (SWF) Body. Journal of Multidisciplinary Educational Research, 2(6), 969–988. https://doi.org/10.71282/jurmie.v2i6.587
Noor, E.M., & Yiming, S. (2024). China's Economic Diplomacy Towards Indonesia's Development: A Case Study of the Jakarta-Bandung High Speed Railway. Journal of Indonesian Social Sciences and Humanities, 14(1), 2024. https://ejournal.brin.go.id/jissh
Nuraini, E., & Chairullah, E. (2025). Manifestation of China's Economic Statecraft in The Jakarta-Bandung High-Fast Train Project. Populis: Journal of Social and Humanities, 10(1), 64–73.
Pembawa, I., Arham, MA, Akib, FHY, & Abdul, I. (2024). The Impact of Infrastructure Development on Poverty in Indonesia 2014-2021. Journal of Economic and Development Studies, 2(1). https://doi.org/10.37905/jsep.v2i1.26577
Purba, A., & Purba, J.T. (2020). Jakarta-Bandung High-Speed rail transportation project: Facts and challenges. IOP Conference Series: Materials Science and Engineering, 918(1). https://doi.org/10.1088/1757-899X/918/1/012034
Putri, AA, & Mahani, I. (2024). Financial Impact of Delays in the Jakarta-Bandung High-Speed Rail Construction Project. JCEBT (Journal of Civil Engineering, Building and Transportation), 8(2), 301–309. http://ojs.uma.ac.id/index.php/jcebt
Rahmat, M. R. A. (2025). Financial Sustainability of KCIC Whoosh in the Ramp-Up Phase: A Narrative Review Based on IDX and Global HSR Benchmarks. Journal of Studies in Academic, Humanities, Research, and Innovation, 2(2), 168–178. https://doi.org/10.71305/sahri.v2i2.920
Ray, D., & Ing, L.Y. (2016). Addressing Indonesia's Infrastructure Deficit. Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies, 52(1), 1–25. https://doi.org/10.1080/00074918.2016.1162266
Sanjaya, F., & Puspitasari, V. (2020). Analysis of the Environmental Impact of the Jakarta-Bandung High-Speed Rail Development from a Critical Environmentalism Perspective. Padjadjaran Journal of International Relations, 2(2), 170. https://doi.org/10.24198/padjir.v2i2.26044
Setiawan, A., Hamka, H., Ridwan, W., Salsabila, F., & Zahidi, MS (2024). Indonesia's Strategic Interest in High-Speed Rail Cooperation with China: Analyzing the Jakarta-Bandung Project Under Jokowi's Infrastructure Vision. Global International Journal of Innovative Research, 2(12). https://doi.org/10.59613/global.v2i12.366
Silalahi, B. (2025). Whoosh In the Perspective of Public Service: Between State Mission and Policy Misformulation. SSRN JOURNAL, 1–7.
Soemardi, BW, & Chan, T.-K. (2022). China's Belt and Road Initiative in Indonesia: A Case Study of the Jakarta–Bandung High-Speed Rail. Construction in Indonesia, 131–142. https://www.taylorfrancis.com/chapters/edit/10.1201/9781003149866-9/china-belt-road-initiative-indonesia-biemo-soemardi-toong-khuan-chan